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Did Biden’s Immigration Surge Push Up Home Prices? What the Data Says

Did Biden’s Immigration Surge Push Up Home Prices? What the Data Says

Summary

A Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas study found that a rise in illegal immigration from early 2021 to early 2024 increased home prices by about 6.6% in certain U.S. metro areas. This means immigration contributed to roughly 30% of the home price growth in those areas, but the primary cause was limited new home construction amid increased demand.

Key Facts

  • The study looked at illegal immigration between early 2021 and early 2024, noting about 7 million new arrivals.
  • Immigrants settled mainly in large metropolitan areas, causing local housing demand to rise.
  • A 1% increase in local unauthorized workers led to a 2.2% rise in home prices and a 1.4% rise in rents.
  • No significant new housing construction occurred to meet the added demand during this period.
  • The average metro area in the study saw a 22.4% increase in home prices overall.
  • Of this increase, 6.6% was directly linked to the influx of illegal immigrants.
  • The study highlights that home price increases were local, not nationwide.
  • Experts say that housing supply cannot quickly adjust to sudden demand, so prices rise before new homes are built.
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