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Byron Donalds' Chances of Losing Florida Race to Democrat David Jolly—Poll

Byron Donalds' Chances of Losing Florida Race to Democrat David Jolly—Poll

Summary

A new poll shows Democrat David Jolly slightly leading Republican Byron Donalds in the race for Florida governor. The survey found Jolly ahead by six points among likely voters, but the contest is still early and may change before the general election.

Key Facts

  • David Jolly, a former Republican turned Democrat, leads Byron Donalds 46% to 40% in the latest poll.
  • The poll was conducted by Change Research, a firm known to lean Democratic.
  • Previous polls showed a smaller gap or had Donalds slightly ahead.
  • President Donald Trump won Florida by 13 points in 2024, and no Democrat has been governor there for over 20 years.
  • About 45% of voters have heard of David Jolly, while 19% of voters say they are not familiar with Donalds.
  • Only 31% of likely voters approve of Donalds’ job performance in Congress.
  • Donalds’ campaign criticized the poll, claiming it was inaccurate based on past errors.
  • The poll surveyed 1,348 registered Florida voters, with 1,004 likely voters, and has a margin of error of 2.8%.
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