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Byron Donalds' Chances of Being Defeated by Democrats in Florida—New Poll

Byron Donalds' Chances of Being Defeated by Democrats in Florida—New Poll

Summary

A new poll from the University of North Florida shows Republican Byron Donalds leading Democrat David Jolly by 5 points in the race for Florida governor. The poll indicates a close contest ahead of the 2026 election, with both candidates showing strong support among voters.

Key Facts

  • Byron Donalds has 46% support, and David Jolly has 41% among likely Florida voters.
  • 6% of voters are undecided, and 5% support other candidates.
  • Both candidates are currently leading their primary races, scheduled for August 18, 2026.
  • Among voters not affiliated with either party, Donalds leads slightly with 39% over Jolly's 38%.
  • Jolly has stronger support among Hispanic and Latino voters, winning 53% compared to Donalds’ 35%.
  • The poll surveyed 848 likely voters from July 8 to 17, 2026, with a margin of error of ±3.8 percentage points.
  • Other polls show mixed results, with one giving Jolly a 4-point lead and another giving Donalds an 8-point lead.
  • The poll also found Florida voters slightly disapprove of President Donald Trump, with 51% disapproving and 48% approving.
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