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US on track to have historically low number of homicides in 2026, report says

US on track to have historically low number of homicides in 2026, report says

Summary

A new report shows that homicide rates have dropped by 18% in 30 American cities from 2025 to 2026, potentially leading to the lowest yearly homicide levels in over 100 years. The report also shows declines in many other crimes, although some, like shoplifting and domestic violence, increased slightly.

Key Facts

  • Homicides fell by 18%, about 215 fewer deaths, in 30 cities from 2025 to 2026.
  • This trend could bring the lowest homicide rate in more than a century if it continues.
  • Nine out of 13 tracked crime types, including carjackings and burglaries, decreased.
  • Some crimes, such as shoplifting, domestic violence, sexual assaults, and drug offenses, rose slightly.
  • The decrease in crimes happened across cities with different political and economic backgrounds.
  • Violent crimes also became less deadly, with a 23% drop in the share that were fatal.
  • Roughly one-third of cities saw increases in homicides, including Norfolk, VA, and San Francisco.
  • Compared to 2019, only a few cities had more homicides in 2026, including Norfolk, Austin, Pittsburgh, and Minneapolis.
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