Jon Ossoff’s Chances of Beating Republican Mike Collins in Georgia—New Poll
Summary
A new AARP poll shows Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff leading Republican Mike Collins by 9 points in the race for Georgia’s Senate seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Ossoff is seen as vulnerable but holds strong support among younger voters and independents, while Collins is favored by older voters.Key Facts
- Jon Ossoff has 52% support, Mike Collins has 43%, with 5% undecided in the recent AARP poll.
- The poll surveyed 1,060 likely Georgia voters from July 13-16, 2026, with a margin of error of ±3 points.
- Ossoff leads by large margins among voters aged 18-34 (33 points) and 35-49 (29 points).
- Collins leads by 24 points among voters aged 65 and older.
- Independent voters favor Ossoff 55% to 35%.
- The race is classified as Lean Democratic by political analysts like Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball.
- Ossoff benefits from incumbency, financial advantages, and a divided Republican opposition.
- Other recent polls also show Ossoff with a lead ranging from 4 to 13 points over Collins.
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