100 Counties Likely to Decide the 2026 Midterms
Summary
Newsweek analyzed 100 counties that could play a major role in deciding control of Congress in the 2026 midterm elections. These counties are mostly suburban areas and fast-growing metro regions where recent elections have been close, making small changes in voter turnout important.Key Facts
- The midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The analysis focused on counties where President Donald Trump’s 2024 election margins were narrow.
- Data came from sources like the Cook Political Report, Ballotpedia, and election results.
- Counties identified often overlap with key congressional districts expected to be competitive.
- Both Democratic and Republican campaign groups are already targeting many of these counties.
- Examples of important counties include Maricopa County (Arizona), Northampton County (Pennsylvania), Scott County (Iowa), Eaton County (Michigan), and Hidalgo County (Texas).
- Campaign resources are being focused on areas with close margins to influence election outcomes.
- The races in these counties could shape which party controls the House of Representatives starting in 2027.
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