100 days out from Election Day, our insider shares his intel
Summary
The 2026 midterm elections are 100 days away. Democrats hold a slight advantage in polls for the House, but Republicans have structural benefits from redistricting. In the Senate, Republicans have a favorable map, while Democrats face tough races in states like Maine, Ohio, and Michigan.Key Facts
- The House currently has 218 Republicans, 212 Democrats, 1 independent, and 4 vacancies.
- Fox News polls show Democrats ahead by about 7 points on the generic ballot.
- Inflation and high gas prices, linked to President Trump’s war in Iran, help Democrats politically.
- Redistricting in nine states may create 6 to 9 new Republican seats in the House.
- Democrats have 23 candidates running in districts that President Trump won, while Republicans have 8 candidates in districts won by Vice President Kamala Harris.
- Iowa is a key battleground where Democrats aim to win up to three of four Republican-held House seats.
- The Senate currently has 53 Republicans, 45 Democrats, and 2 independents who caucus with Democrats.
- Senate races in Maine, Ohio, Alaska, Texas, Iowa, and Michigan will be crucial for control of the Senate.
- Michigan’s Democratic primary features a close race between Rep. Haley Stevens and progressive Abdul El-Sayed.
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