Trump immigration crackdown could spur U.S. population decline as soon as 2031
Summary
According to updated estimates from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the U.S. population will grow more slowly due to the Trump administration's immigration policies. By 2031, deaths are expected to outnumber births, and future population growth will mainly rely on immigration.Key Facts
- The U.S. population is projected to grow more slowly than previously thought because of strict immigration policies.
- Deaths are expected to exceed births by 2031, mainly due to decreased immigration and lower fertility rates.
- The CBO predicts that from 2026 to 2029, 290,000 immigrants will be removed due to new laws; 30,000 more might leave on their own.
- The projected U.S. population in 2055 is now 367 million, lower than an earlier estimate of 372 million.
- The growth slowdown could lead to fewer working-age people, affecting the labor force and economic growth.
- Net immigration is still expected to be positive in 2025 due to an increase in lawful permanent residents.
- Population projections are uncertain and can change with new policies.
- A three-year economic forecast based on these projections is expected on Friday.
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