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Where Hurricane Trouble Could Strike Next—Map Shows Risk Zone for Weeks Ahead

Where Hurricane Trouble Could Strike Next—Map Shows Risk Zone for Weeks Ahead

Summary

The southeastern coast of the United States, including areas near Florida, the Carolinas, Cuba, the Bahamas, and Bermuda, could see the formation of tropical storms in early to mid-August. Forecasters say there is no immediate threat, but the area needs to be monitored due to favorable conditions like warm water and weakening winds.

Key Facts

  • No tropical storms are expected in the Atlantic in the next few days.
  • A broad zone near the U.S. coast may produce tropical rainstorms or depressions by early to mid-August.
  • Warm ocean water and lower wind shear could help storms form in that region.
  • Tropical systems can develop if thunderstorms gather and separate from weather fronts to form low pressure areas with warm cores.
  • A quickly forming storm near shore could cause heavy rain, flooding, and strong winds with little warning.
  • This watch area follows the recent storms Arthur and Bertha, the second named storm this season.
  • Forecasters expect a below-average to average hurricane season in 2026 due to a strong El Niño, which tends to reduce storm formation.
  • NOAA predicts 8 to 14 named storms this season, with 3 to 6 becoming hurricanes and 1 to 3 possibly major hurricanes.
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