Who will shape post-war Iran?
Summary
The ongoing US-Israeli conflict with Iran has created tensions within Iran’s leadership. After the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, his son Mojtaba became the new leader but faces challenges uniting different government and security groups. These groups have different ideas about how Iran should recover after the conflict ends.Key Facts
- The US-Israeli war on Iran has lasted for six months, with the US hoping to create divisions within Iran.
- Some Iranian officials have reportedly contacted the Trump administration, showing possible disagreements in Tehran.
- External attacks have currently forced Iranian groups to act more united, but after the war, internal struggles over Iran’s future are expected.
- Ali Khamenei was Iran’s supreme leader with strong control over security and foreign policy; his death weakened this role.
- Mojtaba Khamenei, his son, is now the supreme leader but lacks Ali Khamenei’s long-term influence and authority.
- Iran’s security system includes the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), the regular army, and intelligence agencies, which have separate powers.
- The elected government, led by President Masoud Pezeshkian, handles the economy and diplomacy but not military or security decisions.
- Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has influence in both civilian and military areas and helps coordinate sensitive decisions.
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