Democrats Favored to Flip Texas House Seat Trump Won by 18 Points
Summary
Democrat Bobby Pulido is currently leading Republican Monica De La Cruz in Texas’ 15th Congressional District, a seat that President Trump won by nearly 18 points in 2024. New polls suggest the race is tightening, making this district a key area to watch in the 2026 midterm elections.Key Facts
- Bobby Pulido, a Democrat, leads Monica De La Cruz, the Republican incumbent, by 51% to 45% in a recent poll.
- The district was redrawn and President Trump won it by nearly 18 points in the 2024 election.
- Another poll from May showed Pulido ahead 48% to 46%.
- Prediction markets give Pulido a 67% chance of winning the seat.
- Analysts moved the district rating from "Likely Republican" to "Leans Republican."
- Texas’ 15th District covers South Texas, a region with a large Latino population where Republicans gained ground in recent years.
- Pulido is a well-known Latin Grammy Award-winning musician and has a favorable reputation among voters.
- This race is seen as a test of whether Democrats can regain support in South Texas amid a challenging election environment for Republicans.
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