Iran hopes to deal Trump a blow at midterms by keeping him entangled in war
Summary
Iran is using a slow negotiation process with the United States to keep President Trump involved in the conflict until the U.S. midterm elections. Tehran hopes this will weaken Trump’s political standing by prolonging tensions over Iran’s nuclear program and economic sanctions.Key Facts
- Iran wants the U.S. to lift sanctions, stop blocking its ports, and unfreeze assets before advancing nuclear talks.
- Iranian officials aim to delay progress until after the November midterm elections in the U.S.
- President Trump withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal in 2018 and ordered the killing of Iranian military leader Qassem Suleimani.
- Iranian media see Trump’s declining approval ratings as linked to the ongoing conflict and high oil prices.
- Iran plans a phased negotiation approach, with the second stage on nuclear talks expected two to four months after reopening commercial shipping.
- Iranian leaders and media suggest the war’s outcome will influence not just battlefields but U.S. elections and policies for years ahead.
- Some inside Iran believe Trump’s Iran strategy is influenced heavily by the goal of maintaining political support before the midterms.
- Tehran shows skepticism toward Trump’s claims that the midterms do not affect his Iran policy.
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