Iran’s leaders believe a victory is within reach, and that time is on their side
Summary
Iran’s leaders believe they are close to gaining control over the Strait of Hormuz, an important global shipping route for energy supplies. They expect that ongoing military pressure and time will force the United States, led by President Trump, to accept this control. However, both sides face risks, including economic problems, public opposition, and potential wider conflicts in the region.Key Facts
- Iran aims to control the Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway for global energy shipments.
- Iran plans to use military pressure to force the U.S. to accept its control of the strait.
- The U.S. has limited supplies of important missile defense weapons and faces growing unpopularity regarding the conflict.
- The strait’s closure keeps gas and goods prices high in the U.S. ahead of elections.
- Opening the strait by force could require costly American ground troops.
- Iran’s allies, the Houthis in Yemen, might expand the conflict and disrupt other trade routes.
- Iran is reportedly close to a deal with Oman to manage the strait, but it depends on the U.S. lifting its blockade.
- President Trump has taken actions against Iran’s military, but also signals some willingness for talks.
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