Six weeks is all you get in the age of post-processable velocity
Summary
The pace of change in business and technology has become so fast that companies can only predict about six weeks into the future. This new speed, called "post-processable velocity," means traditional long-term planning is less effective because capabilities and tools evolve rapidly, often outpacing strategic thinking.Key Facts
- The author experienced difficulty planning beyond six weeks due to rapid change.
- "Post-processable velocity" describes a speed of change that individuals and organizations struggle to fully understand or react to in real time.
- Since around 2007, with smartphones and social media, information has moved faster than before, but now the focus is on how quickly capabilities (like AI) develop.
- AI and new technologies allow small teams or businesses to create and launch new products or automate tasks much faster than in the past.
- This rapid change makes traditional strategic planning, based on stable facts and gradual improvements, less reliable.
- Decisions that seemed logical initially may become outdated quickly because technology and market conditions evolve fast.
- To adapt, the author recommends focusing on what is definitely true, what matters most, and doing simple, quick actions with minimal resources.
- The author suggests that this new environment requires a different approach to strategy but doesn’t mean strategy is useless.
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