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Putin Has an Unexpected Ally He Can’t Control

Putin Has an Unexpected Ally He Can’t Control

Summary

The Danube River is becoming less reliable for Ukraine to export grain because of drought and slowing water flow, while Russian attacks on Ukrainian ports and infrastructure have increased. Russia cannot control the weather, but the hotter, drier conditions in Europe are making Ukraine’s alternative export routes and power sources harder to use during the ongoing conflict.

Key Facts

  • The Danube River near Serbia shows sunken German warships from World War II due to drought lowering the water level.
  • Ukraine uses the Danube as a key route to export grain when Black Sea ports are too dangerous.
  • This summer, drought slowed the Danube’s flow in Romania, hurting shipping and power generation.
  • Russia has increased attacks on Ukrainian ports around Odesa and destroyed related infrastructure like the Mayaki bridge.
  • Ukrainian grain exports shift between sea ports, rail, roads, and the Danube depending on conditions.
  • Ukraine also imports electricity from Europe when its own power plants are hit by Russian strikes.
  • Extreme heat and drought put extra pressure on Ukraine’s backup systems during the conflict.
  • Russian analysts describe Europe’s heatwaves and failed harvests as economic weaknesses.
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