Tropical Storm Cristobal Threat Grows: Spaghetti Models Show Potential Path
Summary
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is tracking several weather disturbances in the Atlantic Ocean, including one with a high chance of becoming Tropical Storm Cristobal soon. Although the 2026 hurricane season is expected to be quieter than usual, forecasters remain watchful for possible storms forming during the season.Key Facts
- A tropical wave about 900 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands may develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm named Cristobal.
- The NHC gives this system an 80% chance to form a cyclone within the next 48 hours.
- If Cristobal forms, it would be the third named storm of the season, following Arthur and Bertha.
- Another low-pressure system east-northeast of Bermuda could briefly become a tropical storm but will likely weaken over cooler waters.
- A tropical wave near West Africa is also being monitored but currently has a low chance to develop.
- NOAA expects the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season to be less active than normal, with 7 to 13 named storms.
- El Niño conditions and average ocean temperatures are factors that may reduce hurricane activity this season.
- The hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.
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