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Bruce Blakeman Surges in Race to Defeat Hochul and Flip New York—New Poll

Bruce Blakeman Surges in Race to Defeat Hochul and Flip New York—New Poll

Summary

A new poll shows Republican Bruce Blakeman is gaining ground on Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul in the New York governor race. Hochul leads Blakeman by 10 points, but this is a smaller lead compared to earlier polls this year.

Key Facts

  • The poll was conducted by Siena University with 811 likely voters from August 3-6, 2026.
  • Hochul currently has 49% support; Blakeman has 39%.
  • Earlier polls showed Hochul with larger leads: 20 points in June, 16 points in April, and 13 points in March.
  • New York has traditionally been a Democratic state, but recent elections show smaller Democratic margins.
  • Other Democrats in state races hold larger leads than Hochul according to the poll.
  • Political experts say Hochul’s lead is still comfortable and her chances of winning in November remain strong.
  • Blakeman claims the race is close and criticizes Hochul’s record on taxes, electricity bills, and crime.
  • Another poll from late June to early July showed Hochul leading by 6 points with 12% undecided voters.
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