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Why House Dems may go easy on one of GOP's most vulnerable members

Why House Dems may go easy on one of GOP's most vulnerable members

Summary

Republican Rep. Mike Lawler from New York is in a tough race to keep his seat in a key area that voted for Vice President Kamala Harris in 2024. Some House Democrats are cautious about spending a lot of money to defeat him because he is seen as a bipartisan Republican and running in an expensive media market, although Democratic groups say they will continue working to win the seat.

Key Facts

  • Mike Lawler is a Republican representative from New York's 17th District, a key battleground area.
  • Kamala Harris won this district in the 2024 election by a small margin.
  • Republicans are spending heavily on ads in this district, more than 40 times what Democrats have reserved.
  • Lawler's campaign and aligned GOP groups have reserved about $11.6 million for ads.
  • Democrats have reserved only about $270,000, partly due to high costs in the New York City media market.
  • Democratic groups say they see the district as one of the best opportunities to flip a seat and will continue efforts to win.
  • Some Democrats prefer to spend money on districts with more potential pickups instead of heavily contesting Lawler's seat.
  • There is some tension between Lawler and Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries, and Democrats plan to spend money against Lawler despite some private caution.
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