Two Years On From Kursk Offensive, Now Ukraine Has Real Leverage
Summary
Two years ago, Ukrainian soldiers launched an operation into Russia’s Kursk region, briefly capturing land as a bargaining tool. Although Ukraine eventually lost most of that territory, it has since developed long-range drone and missile strikes that allow it to hit important Russian targets far inside Russian territory, increasing its leverage in peace talks.Key Facts
- In 2022, Ukrainian forces crossed into Russia’s Kursk region, capturing over 500 square miles briefly.
- Russia pushed Ukrainian troops back out of Kursk by early 2025.
- Ukraine has not made large land incursions into Russia since, except small operations like in Belgorod.
- Ukraine has developed advanced drone and missile technology to strike deep into Russia without holding land.
- Since early 2025, Ukraine’s long-range attacks on Russian energy, logistics, and military sites have increased significantly.
- Russian defenses claim to have shot down many Ukrainian drones but have been overwhelmed by the volume of attacks.
- A recent attack hit the Russian Black Sea port of Novorossiysk, damaging grain terminals and warships.
- Ukraine’s new strategy focuses on disabling important targets rather than holding territory.
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