Steve Hilton’s Chances of Beating Becerra to Flip California for GOP—Poll
Summary
A new poll shows Democrat Xavier Becerra leading Republican Steve Hilton by 18 points in the race for California governor. Becerra and Hilton will compete in the November election to replace Governor Gavin Newsom, who cannot run for a third term.Key Facts
- Xavier Becerra leads Steve Hilton 55% to 37% in a recent University of California Berkeley poll.
- The poll surveyed 2,310 likely voters in early August with a 2.5% margin of error.
- Becerra was previously California’s attorney general and served in President Biden’s administration as Health and Human Services secretary.
- Hilton is a conservative commentator and former adviser to UK Prime Minister David Cameron.
- Becerra has strong support from Democrats (88%) and independents (58%), while Hilton has strong support from Republicans (91%).
- Other recent polls show Becerra leading by around 25 points over Hilton.
- Prediction markets estimate Becerra’s chance of winning at over 90%.
- California has more registered Democrats than Republicans, making it challenging for Republicans to win statewide elections.
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