Two Midwest Polls, One Major Warning for Democrats
Summary
New polls in Ohio and Michigan reveal big differences in how independent voters see Democratic Senate candidates. Democrat Sherrod Brown is much more popular with independents in Ohio than Democrat Abdul El-Sayed is in Michigan, which could affect the balance of power in the U.S. Senate.Key Facts
- In Ohio, Democrat Sherrod Brown leads Republican Jon Husted by 8 points (53% to 45%).
- In Michigan, Republican Mike Rogers leads Democrat Abdul El-Sayed by 4 points (51% to 47%).
- Ohio independents favor Brown over Husted by 38 points (66% to 28%).
- Michigan independents slightly favor Rogers over El-Sayed by 5 points (48% to 43%).
- Many independents worry about the Republican candidates being too close to President Donald Trump: 60% in Ohio and 58% in Michigan.
- Ohio independents are mostly comfortable with Brown, while Michigan independents are split on El-Sayed due to his progressive positions.
- Voter turnout among independents is uncertain, with fewer than half certain they will vote in November.
- Democrats need to gain four Senate seats to take the majority, and losing Michigan would make this goal harder.
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