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Map Shows Potential Snowfall Across US As Super El Niño Chances Climb

Map Shows Potential Snowfall Across US As Super El Niño Chances Climb

Summary

A very strong El Niño weather pattern is likely to develop in late 2026 and winter 2026-27, with over a 90% chance according to U.S. weather agencies. This could cause changes in snowfall across the United States, bringing more snow to the Southwest and southern Rockies, but less snow in some northern areas.

Key Facts

  • El Niño is when ocean temperatures rise unusually high in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean.
  • NOAA and the National Weather Service say there is a 69% chance this El Niño will be historic in strength, possibly a "super El Niño."
  • Sea surface temperatures in the Pacific are already over 2°C above normal.
  • Strong El Niño winters often bring more storms and snow to the southern U.S. mountain regions.
  • Forecasts predict above-normal snowfall in California, Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and parts of Colorado.
  • Northern U.S. states like Washington might see less snow and warmer temperatures.
  • Warmer temperatures could mean some storms produce rain instead of snow at lower elevations.
  • El Niño impacts vary by region and do not guarantee the same weather everywhere.
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