Key Facts

• The National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center forecasts warmer-than-normal autumn for much of the U.S.
• The Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts cooler temperatures in the East Coast and Pacific Coast regions.
• In the Northeast, the Almanac expects cooler, wetter weather, while the official forecast expects warmer, drier conditions.
• The Southeast faces a similar disagreement: the Almanac predicts cool temperatures with mixed rainfall, the official forecast expects warmth with average rain.
• In the Pacific Northwest, the Almanac foresees a cool, wet fall; the National Weather Service predicts warmer and drier weather due to an El Niño event.
• These forecasts show opposite views for temperature and precipitation in several key regions including the Northeast, Southeast, and Pacific Northwest.
• The El Niño weather pattern influences the official forecast towards warmer and drier conditions in the western U.S.
• The forecasts highlight uncertainty about fall weather, with some areas likely experiencing significant differences depending on which prediction proves accurate.