El Niño Breaking 176-Year Record: The Impact on Florida, Texas, California
Summary
A very strong El Niño is developing in the Pacific Ocean, potentially the strongest in more than 170 years. This climate event will likely change weather in parts of the U.S., causing more rain and storms in Florida, Texas, and California, while also affecting hurricane activity.Key Facts
- El Niño is a natural climate pattern where warm ocean water moves east in the tropical Pacific, changing weather worldwide.
- This El Niño could become the strongest since at least 1850, breaking a 176-year record.
- El Niño usually causes wetter weather and more flooding in the southern U.S., including the Gulf Coast and Southeast.
- It tends to reduce tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic but increase them in the eastern and central Pacific.
- Florida may see fewer tropical storms in summer and fall but more rain and severe weather in winter, including tornadoes.
- Texas faces a similar pattern, with less tropical storm risk in warm months but more storms and rain in winter.
- In California, El Niño can bring more tropical moisture and rainfall in fall and winter.
- The Climate Prediction Center says there is over a 90% chance El Niño will be very strong during fall and winter 2026-27.
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