Mary Peltola's Chances of Beating Dan Sullivan to Flip Alaska Senate Seat
Summary
Mary Peltola, a Democrat, and Republican Senator Dan Sullivan advanced to Alaska’s Senate general election after a top-four primary. Polls show a close race between them, with Peltola currently holding a slight lead as voters will use ranked-choice voting in November.Key Facts
- Alaska’s Senate race is expected to be one of the most competitive for the 2026 midterm elections.
- Peltola had about 47.8% of the vote, and Sullivan had 43.3% with nearly 80% of votes counted in the primary.
- Alaska uses a single-ballot system where all candidates compete together, and the top four move to the general election.
- The general election uses ranked-choice voting, where voters rank candidates by preference.
- Polls suggest a tight race, with some showing Peltola slightly ahead and some showing Sullivan leading by small margins.
- Another candidate named Dan Sullivan, unrelated to the incumbent, also received some votes, causing confusion and criticism from Republicans including President Donald Trump.
- Alaska has traditionally leaned Republican, but Democrats see this race as a key chance to flip the Senate seat.
- President Trump won Alaska by 13 points in 2024 despite slipping approval nationwide.
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