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Jon Ossoff's Chances of Losing to Republican Mike Collins in Georgia—Poll

Jon Ossoff's Chances of Losing to Republican Mike Collins in Georgia—Poll

Summary

A recent poll shows Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff leading Republican Mike Collins by 7 points in the Georgia Senate race. This election is important because Georgia is a key battleground state that President Donald Trump won in 2024, and Democrats need to keep the seat to try to control the Senate in 2026.

Key Facts

  • The InsiderAdvantage poll surveyed 800 likely Georgia voters in mid-August 2026, with a 3.46% margin of error.
  • Ossoff received 50% support, Collins 43%, and 7% of voters were undecided.
  • Collins is a current U.S. representative for Georgia's 10th District.
  • Other recent polls show Ossoff leading Collins by 4 to 13 points.
  • Prediction markets give Ossoff about a 90% chance of winning.
  • Georgia has voted for both Trump and Biden in recent elections, making it a swing state.
  • The race is rated as "Likely Democrat" or "Lean Democrat" by political analysts.
  • Both campaigns have commented, with Ossoff’s team confident and Collins’ team noting they have closed the gap despite spending less.
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