Are Hormuz ships more willing to defy Iran or the US? What the data shows
Summary
The Strait of Hormuz is a key waterway for shipping oil and gas. President Donald Trump says the US controls the strait and keeps it open, but Iran claims it closed the strait for ships not approved by Tehran. Data shows most ships avoid official routes and use untracked paths, making it hard to know who truly controls the strait.Key Facts
- The Strait of Hormuz lies between Iran and Oman and is a major route for oil and gas shipments.
- President Donald Trump claims the US controls the strait and that it is open to all vessels.
- Iran insists ships must get Tehran’s approval before passing and claims the southern Omani route is not allowed.
- There are two main shipping routes: the northern "Iranian" route near Iran’s coast and the southern "Omani" route near Oman.
- Between August 1 and 19, 112 oil and gas vessels passed through the strait; 21 used the Iranian route and 2 used the Omani route openly.
- Over 80% of oil and gas ships used unclassified or “dark” routes with their tracking systems turned off or unclear.
- In total, 236 vessels went through the strait in the same period; 83 openly used the Iranian route, 3 used the Omani route, and most ships (148) went dark or used unknown routes.
- It is difficult to confirm precise ship routes because many turn off tracking systems, making control of the strait unclear.
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