Without action wildfires in Europe will increase 39% even in best-case climate scenario, study finds
Summary
A study predicts that by the end of this century, wildfires in Europe could burn 39% more land even if global warming is limited to the best-case scenario. If the world heats up more, fires could nearly triple, but better fire management can reduce some of this increase, though not stop it entirely.Key Facts
- Wildfires in Europe may increase by 39% by 2100 under the best-case global warming scenario.
- In a worse scenario with 3.6°C of global heating, the burned area could almost triple.
- Fire management improvements could reduce wildfire damage by over 70%, but not eliminate it.
- Hotter, drier, and windier weather driven by carbon pollution fuels the spread of wildfires.
- Currently, Europe is experiencing one of its worst wildfire seasons, with over 600,000 hectares burned.
- Some northern European countries like the UK, Belgium, and Germany are now facing large fires.
- Past policies to stop small fires have increased the fuel available, leading to fewer but more intense fires.
- The study warns that fighting fires cannot replace the need to reduce climate change itself.
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