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Republicans Dealt Quadruple Polling Blow in Race Against Abdul El-Sayed

Republicans Dealt Quadruple Polling Blow in Race Against Abdul El-Sayed

Summary

Four new polls show Democratic candidate Abdul El-Sayed leading Republican Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate race for the 2026 midterm elections. The race is expected to be close, but these results suggest El-Sayed has gained an advantage after winning the Democratic primary.

Key Facts

  • Abdul El-Sayed won the Democratic primary against Haley Stevens and now leads Mike Rogers in recent polls.
  • Michigan is an important swing state and a key battleground for control of the Senate.
  • The Senate seat is open because Democratic Senator Gary Peters is retiring.
  • Polls show El-Sayed ahead by narrow, single-digit margins, indicating a competitive race.
  • El-Sayed has strong support from Democrats and a slight lead among independent voters.
  • Polls also show many voters view both candidates unfavorably, with El-Sayed’s unfavorable rating higher than Rogers’.
  • Most Michigan voters disapprove of President Donald Trump’s job performance, which could affect the race.
  • Polls were conducted by different firms between August 6 and August 17, 2026, with margins of error around 3-3.5 percentage points.
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