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Republicans’ Chances of Flipping New Hampshire Senate Seat—Poll

Republicans’ Chances of Flipping New Hampshire Senate Seat—Poll

Summary

A new poll shows Democratic Representative Chris Pappas leading two potential Republican candidates in the race for a New Hampshire U.S. Senate seat. The seat is open because Senator Jeanne Shaheen is retiring, and both parties view the race as important for the upcoming midterm elections.

Key Facts

  • Senator Jeanne Shaheen is retiring, leaving an open Senate seat in New Hampshire.
  • Chris Pappas, a Democrat, leads Republican candidates John Sununu and Scott Brown in a recent poll.
  • Pappas has a 7-point lead over Sununu and a 12-point lead over Brown, according to a St. Anselm College poll.
  • Pappas also leads in the Democratic primary against Karishma Manzur.
  • Sununu leads Brown in the Republican primary by 30 points.
  • Other polls show a closer race but generally favor Pappas.
  • New Hampshire often has close elections and voted Democratic in the 2024 presidential election.
  • Prediction markets give Democrats about an 86-89% chance of winning this Senate seat.
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