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Ukraine and Iran Wars Expose the Flaws in Nuclear Deterrence | Opinion

Ukraine and Iran Wars Expose the Flaws in Nuclear Deterrence | Opinion

Summary

Recent conflicts involving Ukraine and Iran show that having nuclear weapons has not stopped these countries from attacking their adversaries. Experts now say nuclear weapons may not prevent wars as once believed, and their presence might encourage risky and aggressive behavior by nuclear-armed countries.

Key Facts

  • Ukraine has carried out large drone and missile attacks inside Russia, despite Russia's nuclear weapons.
  • Russia has not responded to Ukraine's attacks with nuclear weapons.
  • Past wars, like those involving Egypt, Syria, Argentina, Vietnam, India, and Pakistan, show nuclear weapons did not prevent conflicts.
  • The Cuban Missile Crisis nearly led to nuclear war, which was avoided by luck, not nuclear deterrence.
  • Iran has launched missile and drone attacks against Israel and U.S. bases despite threats from nuclear-armed countries.
  • Israel uses missile defenses against Iran rather than nuclear threats.
  • Nuclear-armed countries may act more aggressively, ignoring international laws, because of their nuclear weapons.
  • Some governments are considering increasing reliance on smaller, tactical nuclear weapons, but experts warn this could increase danger.
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