Poll Gives Ken Paxton 4 Warning Signs in Texas Race Against James Talarico
Summary
A new poll shows Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton trailing Democratic state Representative James Talarico in the 2026 Texas Senate race. The poll highlights several challenges for Paxton, including lower support among Republicans, weaker favorability ratings, and less enthusiasm to vote compared to Democrats.Key Facts
- The poll surveyed 1,200 registered Texas voters from August 5 to 13, 2026.
- James Talarico leads Ken Paxton by 3 points, with 42% to 39% support.
- Paxton's support among Republicans dropped from 84% in June to 79%.
- Talarico holds 91% support from Democrats; Paxton has none from Democrats.
- Talarico leads among independents with 37% support compared to Paxton’s 11%.
- Only 39% of Republicans feel extremely motivated to vote, while 50% of Democrats do.
- Paxton’s favorability rating is -13 points, with more voters viewing him unfavorably (47%) than favorably (34%).
- Talarico has a +10 favorability rating with 42% favorable and 32% unfavorable.
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