Map Shows Congressional Races Now Toss-Ups in Districts Trump Won
Summary
Some U.S. House races in districts that President Donald Trump won in 2024 are now considered very competitive. Key districts in Florida and Michigan have shifted from leaning Republican to toss-ups, meaning either party could win. This suggests Republicans may face challenges in the 2026 midterm elections.Key Facts
- Two districts, Florida’s 14th and Michigan’s 10th, moved from “Lean Republican” to “Toss Up” in the latest Cook Political Report.
- Michigan’s 8th District shifted from “Lean Democrat” to “Likely Democrat.”
- Both Florida and Michigan supported President Trump in the 2024 presidential election.
- Trump won Florida by over 6.1 million votes and Michigan narrowly by about 2.82 million votes.
- Florida’s 14th District favored Trump by 11 points after redistricting but is now a toss-up in the House race.
- Michigan’s 10th District is an open seat, since the previous Republican representative left to run for governor.
- Republicans currently hold a narrow majority in the House with 218 seats, while Democrats have 212.
- Midterm elections usually cause the president’s party to lose seats, making these shifts important for control of the House.
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