Republican's Chances of Losing to Dan Osborn in Nebraska Senate Race
Summary
A new poll shows Republican Senator Pete Ricketts and independent Dan Osborn tied in Nebraska’s Senate race. Osborn, who has no party affiliation but is endorsed by Nebraska Democrats, is competing strongly despite the state’s usual support for Republicans and President Donald Trump.Key Facts
- The new poll gave both Ricketts and Osborn 47% support, with 5% undecided.
- Osborn lost narrowly in the 2024 Senate race even though Trump won Nebraska by a large margin.
- Osborn is an independent mechanic and labor leader who refuses to join either major party caucus.
- The Nebraska Democratic Party is not running a candidate and has endorsed Osborn.
- Republican Pete Ricketts’ favorability rating is lower than Osborn’s in the recent poll.
- The poll surveyed 600 likely voters from August 9 to 13, 2026, with a margin of error of ±4%.
- Prediction markets still favor Ricketts to win, with about a 70% chance as of the latest update.
- Ricketts’ campaign criticized the poll’s accuracy and questioned the reliability of Osborn’s campaign.
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