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Canadian economy recovers sharply in Q2 but shadow of US tariffs in future

Canadian economy recovers sharply in Q2 but shadow of US tariffs in future

Summary

Canada's economy grew strongly in the second quarter of 2024, with a 3.3 percent annualized increase driven by higher exports and domestic spending. However, new U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods have created uncertainty about future economic growth.

Key Facts

  • Canada’s GDP grew at an annualized rate of 3.3% in Q2 2024, the fastest since 2023.
  • Growth followed a revised 0.3% increase in Q1, meaning Canada avoided a technical recession.
  • Exports increased by 3.6%, the largest quarterly rise in over three years.
  • Domestic demand rose by 1% in Q2, helped by higher consumer spending and business investment.
  • Consumer spending was boosted by higher wages and government support.
  • Business investment grew 2.3% after shrinking in previous quarters.
  • President Donald Trump imposed a 50% tariff on $20 billion of Canadian exports, with Canada responding with its own tariffs.
  • The new tariffs raise concerns about future economic growth and add uncertainty amid ongoing trade tensions.
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