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New El Nino Forecast Predicts Impact on US States

New El Nino Forecast Predicts Impact on US States

Summary

Federal weather forecasters predict a warmer-than-normal fall across much of the United States, with wetter conditions expected in parts of the Southwest and Southeast. These patterns are linked to a strong El Niño event developing in the Pacific Ocean, which affects weather across the country.

Key Facts

  • The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts above-average temperatures for most U.S. states from September through November.
  • The Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies have the highest chance of warmer temperatures this fall.
  • Parts of the Southwest (Arizona, New Mexico) and Southeast (Georgia, Carolinas) are expected to receive more rain than usual.
  • Some areas like the Pacific Northwest and Great Lakes may see drier conditions.
  • El Niño is a climate pattern where warmer ocean water in the tropical Pacific influences weather worldwide.
  • Strong El Niños often bring wetter winters to southern U.S. states and milder temperatures in northern regions.
  • El Niño can reduce Atlantic hurricane activity by increasing wind shear, which disrupts storms.
  • Past strong El Niños, such as in 1997-98 and 2015-16, caused severe weather events and global temperature impacts.
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