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Why India’s economic data has sparked a furore

Why India’s economic data has sparked a furore

Summary

India recently reported strong economic growth of 7.8% for the latest quarter, which is higher than expected. However, some experts and critics question the accuracy and transparency of India’s economic data, pointing to changes in methods and delays in important surveys.

Key Facts

  • India’s GDP growth was reported as 7.8% for the recent quarter, above the forecast of 7%.
  • Former finance secretary Subhash Garg claimed the real growth is only 2.6%, accusing the government of inflating numbers by revising last year’s GDP down.
  • Critics say India’s economic data system has lost trust due to method changes, delays in surveys, and attempts to hide inconvenient results.
  • The International Monetary Fund gave India’s national accounts a ‘C’ grade, citing outdated methods and data inconsistencies.
  • India’s previous data system was respected for its independence and rigor, but trust has eroded recently.
  • A 2019 incident involved delayed publication of unemployment data, leading to resignations of experts on the National Statistical Commission.
  • The 2021 census was postponed for the first time since independence, causing concern about the use of dated population data.
  • Government economists reject criticism, calling debates about GDP figures politically motivated and compare India’s IMF data rating to China’s.
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