Old Farmer’s Almanac Predicts How Super El Niño Could Reshape US Winter
Summary
A strong El Niño climate pattern is expected to continue through the 2026-2027 winter, likely causing milder weather across much of the United States and increased rain and snow in parts of the West and South. Both the Old Farmer’s Almanac and NOAA forecast above-normal temperatures in northern U.S. regions and wetter conditions along the West Coast during this period.Key Facts
- El Niño is a warming of Pacific Ocean waters that influences weather patterns globally.
- NOAA says there is over a 90% chance of a very strong El Niño this fall and winter.
- The Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts a mostly mild winter with wetter conditions in the West, South, Midwest, and Florida.
- Some areas from central New England to the Ohio Valley may experience colder-than-normal temperatures.
- Both NOAA and the Almanac agree on above-normal temperatures across northern states and wetter weather on the West Coast.
- Past strong El Niño winters have brought heavy rain and flooding to parts of California and wetter weather to the Southeast.
- "Super El Niño" is a term used to describe very strong events but is not an official NOAA classification.
- Forecasts use different methods: the Almanac uses solar cycles and historical patterns, while NOAA uses climate models and scientific data.
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