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12 key races that will determine who controls the Senate

12 key races that will determine who controls the Senate

Summary

The 2026 midterm elections will decide which party controls the U.S. Senate, as Republicans aim to keep their current 53-seat majority while Democrats try to gain seats. Key Senate races in states like Maine, Michigan, and Ohio are very competitive and important for the overall balance of power.

Key Facts

  • Republicans currently hold a 53-47 majority in the U.S. Senate.
  • Democrats need to win four more seats than they lose to gain control.
  • Many Republican seats are in states President Donald Trump won by large margins in 2024.
  • Problems like the war with Iran and high living costs have made some Republican seats more competitive.
  • In Maine, the GOP’s Susan Collins is running against Democrat Troy Jackson after the original Democratic candidate withdrew.
  • Michigan’s race features Democrat Abdul El-Sayed against Republican Mike Rogers for an open seat.
  • In Ohio, Democrat Sherrod Brown is trying to return to the Senate, challenging incumbent Republican Jon Husted.
  • Political analysts rate these races as toss-ups, meaning they could go to either party.
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