Sununu's Chances of Beating Pappas in Knife-Edge New Hampshire Senate Race
Summary
Republican John Sununu and Democrat Chris Pappas won their primaries and will compete for a U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire. Recent polls show the race is close, but prediction markets favor Pappas to win in November.Key Facts
- The New Hampshire Senate seat is open due to the retirement of Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen.
- John Sununu received President Donald Trump's endorsement.
- Polling averages show Pappas leading Sununu by about 2 points.
- Prediction markets give Pappas an 83% chance of winning the general election.
- Recent polls have mixed results, with some showing a slight lead for Sununu and others for Pappas, within the margin of error.
- Voter support varies by age and gender: women and younger voters favor Pappas; men and older voters tend to favor Sununu.
- New Hampshire voters have a history of splitting their votes between parties in different races.
- The November election could impact control of the U.S. Senate.
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