Susan Collins Faces Fourth Polling Blow Since Jackson Launched Senate Run
Summary
Democrat Troy Jackson is leading Republican Senator Susan Collins in several recent polls for the Maine Senate race, making the contest very close. The race is seen as competitive, with both candidates having mixed favorability ratings and past elections showing polling can be unpredictable in Maine.Key Facts
- Troy Jackson holds a narrow lead over Susan Collins in the latest CNN/SSRS poll, 48% to 45%, with a margin of error of ±3.7%.
- This is the fourth independent poll since July showing Jackson ahead in the Maine Senate race.
- Maine leans Democratic in recent elections, but Collins has won before due to personal popularity and bipartisan support.
- Jackson’s supporters mostly vote “against Collins,” while Collins’ supporters mostly vote “for” her.
- Jackson has a 6-point negative favorability rating; Collins has a 10-point negative favorability rating.
- Other recent polls (Abacus Data, Fox News, University of New Hampshire) also indicate very close races with minor leads for Jackson.
- Past Maine polls underestimated Collins in 2020, where she won despite trailing in polls.
- The race is important in the national context with concerns about the economy, cost of living, and foreign policy affecting voter attitudes amid President Donald Trump’s declining approval.
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