Super El Niño Winter Timeline: What To Expect Month by Month
Summary
A very strong El Niño weather pattern is expected to develop and persist through the end of 2026, with a high chance it will be one of the strongest on record. This climate event can affect weather across the United States, causing changes like more storms and rainfall in some regions and milder winter temperatures in others.Key Facts
- El Niño is the warm phase of a natural climate cycle called ENSO that influences weather worldwide.
- NOAA forecasters say there is over a 90% chance El Niño will grow stronger through 2026.
- There is a 75% chance this El Niño will be historic in strength during fall and winter 2026.
- El Niño typically brings stormier weather to the Southern U.S. and drier conditions to some northern areas.
- Forecasters predict more heavy rain in parts of California and the Southeast during December through February.
- Some northern areas may experience milder winter temperatures and less frequent cold air.
- Weather patterns remain uncertain as other factors could influence the impacts of this El Niño.
- The Climate Prediction Center favors above-normal temperatures in much of the U.S. for winter 2026-2027.
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