Possible Tropical Storm Brews in Atlantic as El Niño Keeps Hurricanes Away
Summary
A weather disturbance east of the U.S. in the Atlantic Ocean has a 40% chance of becoming Tropical Storm Fay within seven days, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The Atlantic hurricane season has been quiet this year, partly due to the El Niño climate pattern, which usually weakens storms in this region.Key Facts
- The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.
- So far in 2026, no hurricanes have formed, and only five tropical storms have appeared.
- El Niño is a weather pattern with warmer Pacific Ocean temperatures that can reduce Atlantic storm activity by increasing wind shear, a factor that breaks up storms.
- The NHC says a disturbance near Bermuda could develop into Tropical Storm Fay as it moves west towards the U.S. East Coast.
- The chance of this disturbance becoming a tropical storm within seven days is 40%.
- AccuWeather also predicts a medium chance for storm development between September 17 and 21.
- Wind shear is usually strong in the Atlantic but is currently lower near Bermuda, allowing potential storm formation.
- Last year’s Atlantic hurricane season was quieter than normal with only 13 named storms and one hurricane.
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