Spaghetti Models Show Pacific Tropical Depression Paths As El Niño Strengthens
Summary
Tropical Depression Fifteen-E is currently in the eastern Pacific Ocean but is unlikely to become a tropical storm due to dry air and wind shear. El Niño conditions are influencing this hurricane season by increasing storm activity in the eastern and central Pacific while reducing it in the Atlantic.Key Facts
- Tropical Depression Fifteen-E is about 950 miles west-southwest of Baja California.
- It is moving west at around 10 miles per hour.
- Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph, below tropical storm strength.
- Dry air and wind shear are preventing it from strengthening.
- No land or coastal areas are currently threatened by this system.
- El Niño is a climate pattern that affects hurricane activity, causing more storms in the eastern Pacific.
- Another low-pressure area could develop south of southwestern Mexico later this week.
- The chance of that new disturbance becoming a tropical cyclone is low in the next 2 days but may increase to 20% over the next week.
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