The Race to Replace Mitch McConnell: Latest Polls, Odds as Senator Returns
Summary
Senator Mitch McConnell returned to the Senate after a months-long absence due to a fall that left him unconscious. McConnell is not running for reelection, and the race to replace him in Kentucky is between Republican Andy Barr and Democrat Charles Booker, with Barr currently favored to win.Key Facts
- Mitch McConnell, 84 years old, was absent from the Senate after suffering a fall in June.
- McConnell will finish his current term in January 2027 and is not seeking reelection.
- Kentucky is a traditionally Republican state, making it a challenging race for Democrats.
- Democrat Charles Booker is running to replace McConnell, trying to flip the seat from Republican Andy Barr.
- An internal Democratic poll showed Barr leading Booker by 9 points, but independent polls are lacking.
- Prediction markets give Barr a 95-96% chance to win the election.
- Booker has previously run in Senate races but lost in Republican-leaning Kentucky.
- McConnell returned to work on September 14 but said he is not yet fully recovered.
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