Peltola vs. Sullivan Polls Send Warning to GOP in State Trump Won 3 Times
Summary
A recent poll shows Democrat Mary Peltola leading Republican Senator Dan Sullivan in Alaska’s 2026 Senate race. This is notable because Alaska voted strongly for President Donald Trump three times, but the race for this Senate seat is very close.Key Facts
- Mary Peltola, a Democrat and former Representative, is ahead of Republican Dan Sullivan in the latest AARP poll.
- The poll shows Peltola with 46% support in the first round, increasing to 53% after applying ranked choice voting.
- Alaska uses ranked choice voting and a nonpartisan top-four primary system, which mix things up compared to typical elections.
- President Donald Trump won Alaska by large margins in the past three presidential elections (2016, 2020, 2024).
- Polling in Alaska is challenging due to its large size and diverse voters, and past polls have missed outcomes.
- Peltola is seen as a strong Democrat in Alaska, winning a statewide House seat in 2022.
- Independent voters in Alaska, who make up a big portion of the electorate, strongly favor Peltola in the poll.
- Republicans currently hold a 53-47 Senate majority, and this race is important for both parties in controlling the Senate.
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