Tuesday briefing: Europe thinks Russia is preparing to test Nato’s limits
Summary
European intelligence officials warn that Russia may soon try to test NATO’s strength with an attack on European soil, possibly using drones or missiles. These warnings come amid ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and concerns about Russia’s hybrid tactics to disrupt support for Ukraine without sparking full military war.Key Facts
- The UN General Assembly is focusing on conflicts in Iran, Ukraine, and the Gulf.
- European countries have seen sabotage acts believed to be from Russia, aiming to disrupt support for Ukraine.
- Russia’s recent elections tightened Vladimir Putin’s control, and far-right parties like Germany’s AfD gained ground.
- Intelligence sources from the Czech Republic, Latvia, and Sweden say a Russian attack on NATO territory could happen soon.
- Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk mentioned intelligence pointing to possible missile or drone attacks from Russia.
- French President Emmanuel Macron is holding emergency talks due to these warnings.
- Experts note uncertainty about how concrete the intelligence is, compared to clear evidence before Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine.
- The situation is described as a “shadow war” or “hybrid war,” with actions just below the level that would normally trigger military retaliation.
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