How Putin's Invasion of NATO Could Unfold as Estonia Border Closed
Summary
Russia has restricted movement near its border with Estonia amid rising tensions. A think tank says Russia might try a small attack on Estonia to test NATO's response, using propaganda and drones to take control of a border town without openly declaring war.Key Facts
- Russia limited night movement and access near the Estonia border in two Russian districts last week.
- Estonia said it would close its border if Russia ordered mass military drafts.
- Russia might accuse Estonia of mistreating Russian-speaking people to justify aggression.
- Russian drones could be used to attack Estonian targets near the border.
- Russian agents could try to take control of Narva, a town on the border, and declare it independent.
- Russia could then send forces without officially declaring war unless Estonia fights back.
- Estonia might ask NATO for help, but some NATO members could hesitate to respond fully.
- Delays or disagreements in NATO's response could encourage Russia to continue its actions.
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