AOC's Popularity Dips Underwater in Home State as She Discusses 2028
Summary
Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) faces challenges in her home state as recent polls show a decline in her popularity. While she is considered a leading candidate for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, polls indicate she might struggle in a general election matchup against Republican candidates.Key Facts
- A Siena College poll found AOC’s net favorability in her home state dropped from +5 in 2025 to –1 recently.
- She is seen as a frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic nomination for president by prediction markets and some polls.
- Polymarket gives her an 18% chance to win the Democratic nomination and a 13% chance to win the 2028 presidential election.
- Polls show she would lose to Republican JD Vance in a head-to-head election by a narrow margin (around 44% to 46%).
- AOC’s favorability among independents and union households has decreased in her home state.
- Her favorability among young voters (18-34) has improved from 22% to 33% net positive.
- She has not decided whether to run for Senate or president in 2028 and acknowledges that being a Latina woman might make her campaign more difficult.
- AOC is up for reelection this year but has not ruled out trying for Senator Chuck Schumer’s seat in 2028.
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