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Social Security Update: New Projection Forecasts Deadline for Steep Cuts

Social Security Update: New Projection Forecasts Deadline for Steep Cuts

Summary

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) warns that Social Security’s retirement fund will run out of money by mid-2032. If Congress does not act, retirees could see their benefits cut by about 26 percent to match incoming payroll taxes.

Key Facts

  • Social Security's retirement trust fund is projected to become insolvent by mid-2032.
  • Insolvency means the fund will lack enough reserves to pay full benefits.
  • After mid-2032, benefits may be cut automatically by about 26 percent.
  • The reduction could grow to around 40 percent by the end of the century without changes.
  • The number of Social Security benefit recipients is over 70 million Americans.
  • Social Security costs have risen from 10.7% of taxable wages in 1990 to 15% today.
  • Revenues from payroll taxes have grown slightly, from 12.7% to 12.9% in the same period.
  • Possible solutions include raising revenue, changing benefits, or using alternative funding.
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